Zeitschrift für Gesundheit und medizinische Informatik

Presenting a Hybrid Method in Order to Predict the 2009 Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1)

Abstract

Reza Boostani *,Mojtaba Rismanchi ,Abbas Khosravani ,Lida Rashidi ,Samaneh Kouchaki ,B. Sabayan ,K. B. Lankarani

By the emergence and rapid spread of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus through the world, several methods have been developed to predict and prevent this lethal disease. Although many efforts have been made by statistical and traditional intelligent methods to anticipate this disease, but none of them could satisfy the expectations of specialists. This paper aims to present an efficient hybrid method to predict H1N1 with a reliable sensitivity. In this way, three methods including Gaussian mixture model (GMM), neural network (NN), and fuzzy rule-based system (FRBS) have been fused in order to provide an accurate and reliable prediction scheme to anticipate presence of H1N1 influenza. In this study, 230 individuals were participated and their clinical data were collected. The proposed hybrid scheme was implicated and the results showed to be superior to using each of the decision components containing NN, FRBS, and GMM classifiers. The achieved results produced 95.83% sensitivity and 80.95% specificity on unseen data which support the effectiveness of the hybrid method to predict the influenza in its golden time.